[Header] Format=SMU ver=3 appl=GUMWB32 MR=0 FUEB=0 [Title] Title='Uncertainty estimation from In-House Validation Studies. Determination of Organophosphorus Pesticides in Bread' Description=3 Description[0]='This is the example A4 of the EURACHEM / CITAC Guide "Quantifying Uncertainty' Description[1]='in Analytical Measurement", Second Edition.' Description[2]='' [Model] Model=7 Model[0]='{calculation of the level of pesticide in the sample:' Model[1]='P_op = (I_op * c_ref * V_op)/(I_ref * Rec * m_sample) * F_hom * 1e6' Model[2]='but not used to calculate uncertainty}' Model[3]='' Model[4]='{calculation of uncertainty}' Model[5]='' Model[6]='P_op = P_op\sp\nominal * f_repeatability * f_bias * f_other;' [Components] CompOrder=3 Comp=5 Comp[0]=P_op_ Comp[1]=P_op\sp\nominal_ Comp[2]=f_repeatability_ Comp[3]=f_bias_ Comp[4]=f_other_ [COMP 0] Type=Result Definition='Level of pesticide in the sample' Unit='mg/kg' Description=0 Fcov=2 NomUnit= UncUnit= CovID=1 UncID=0 Vnom=1 Ustd=0.33950924398162 Neff=95 HB=1 HC=0 HR=1 IO=0 [COMP 1] Type=Const Definition='Nominal level of pesticide in the sample' Unit='mg/kg' Description=4 Description[0]='The nominal value of the level of pesticide in the sample is not associated' Description[1]='with any uncertainty. A value of 1/0.9 is chosen so that P_op will be 1, the' Description[2]='the combined uncertainty of the result can be used directly as a relative' Description[3]='uncertainty.' Vnom==1/0.9 [COMP 2] Type=TypBNormal Definition='Uncertainty contribution covering repeatability' Unit='' Description=11 Description[0]='Repeatability has been investigated in a precision study. A number of duplicate' Description[1]='tests (same homogenised sample, complete extraction/determination procedure)' Description[2]='were performed for typical organophosphorous pesticides found in different' Description[3]='bread samples (for data see Table A4.2 in the EURACHEM / CITAC Guide). The' Description[4]='normalised difference data (the difference between the duplicate results' Description[5]='divided by the mean) provides a measure of the overall run to run variability.' Description[6]='To obtain the estimated relative standard uncertainty for single' Description[7]='determinations, the standard deviation of the normalised differences is taken' Description[8]='and divided by sqrt(2) to correct from a standard deviation for pairwise' Description[9]='differences to the standard uncertainty for the single values. This gives an' Description[10]='uncertainty of 0.382/sqrt(2) = 0.27.' Vnom=1 Uexp==0.382/sqrt(2) Fcov=1 [COMP 3] Type=TypBNormal Definition='Uncertainty contribution due to bias (recovery)' Unit='' Description=4 Description[0]='Data from an in-house validation study was used to obtain data on recovery. On' Description[1]='42 spiked bread samples, the mean recovery was 90% with a standard deviation of' Description[2]='28%. The standard uncertainty of the recovery is calculated as the standard' Description[3]='deviation of the mean, 0.28/sqrt(42).' Vnom=0.9 Uexp==0.28/sqrt(42) Fcov=1 [COMP 4] Type=TypBNormal Definition='Other uncertainty contributions' Unit='' Description=25 Description[0]='This factor includes all other sources of uncertainty not adequately covered by' Description[1]='f_repeatability and f_bias_. Due to the design of the precision study, all' Description[2]='uncertainty contributions arising from balances and volumetric measurement' Description[3]='devices are already covered by f_repeatability_. This leaves only the purity of' Description[4]='the reference standard, the possible nonlinearity of the GC response and the' Description[5]='sample homogeneity as possible sources of uncertainty. The purity of the' Description[6]='reference standard is biven by the manufacturer as 99.53% ±0.06%. Assuming a' Description[7]='rectangular distribution, this would be an additional uncertainty of' Description[8]='0.0006/sqrt(3) = 0.00035. This uncertaintiy contribution is so small compared' Description[9]='to e.g. the contribution of f_repeatability, that it can be safely neglected.' Description[10]='Linearity of the response of the GC within the given concentration range is' Description[11]='established for the substances under investigation during the validation' Description[12]='studies. No allowance is made for nonlinearity. Homogeneity of the bread' Description[13]='samples has been estimated on the basis of the sampling method used. A number' Description[14]='of feasible pesticide residue distribution scenarios were considered, and a' Description[15]='simple binominal statistical distribution used to caluclate the standard' Description[16]='uncertainty for the total included in the analysed sample. The scenarios, and' Description[17]='the calculated relative standard uncertainties in the amount of pesticide in' Description[18]='the final sample, were: Residue distributed on the top surface only: 0.58 (This' Description[19]='scenario would arise in the case of decorative additions of whole grains to the' Description[20]='surface of the bread) Residue distributed evenly over the surface only: 0.2' Description[21]='Residue distributed evenly throgh the sample, but reduced in concentration by' Description[22]='evaporative loss or decomposition close to the surface: 0.05 - 0.10 The second' Description[23]='scenario was chosen as the most likely worst case. Therefore an uncertainty of' Description[24]='0.2 was chosen.' Vnom=1 Uexp=0.2 Fcov=1 [Correlations] Description=0